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#851 Dartmouth Big Green +8 1/2

3-Units (6:00 P.M. CST)

Dartmouth has won two of the last three vs Columbia on the road, and are a solid 4-1 over their last 5 conference games. They are currently ranked 3rd in the Ivy League with a 4-2 conference record, and are still in the race for the Ivy League Crown. The Big Green are led by Senior Forward Alex Barnett who leads the team with 19 points and 5 rebounds a game. Coach Terry Dunn has a deep roster and runs players in and out throughout the game to insure that he has fresh legs in towards the end. This theory has worked well, especially in conference play, where the Big Green have a 4-2 record.

Columbia has won three of its last four games, but are coming off of an embarrassing 35 point effort against Princeton on Saturday. The Lions will score more than 35 tonight, but should wear down in the 2nd half, allowing for an easy road cover by the Big Green.

Take the Dartmouth Big Green +8 1/2 for 3-Units!



Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning


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NBA Selections:


#860 New York Knicks -6

3-Units (6:35 P.M. CST)

Despite an overall losing record of 17-24 the Knicks actually have a winning record of 11-9 in their home games. Their also coming off a couple of home wins over Chicago and Phoenix, and now catch a Memphis team that has not only lost 7 in a row, but are an embarrassing 2-16 when traveling this season.

Al Harrington and Zach Randolph lead the Knicks with 21 points per game, while Randolph leads all Knicks with 13 rebounds per contest. New York has heated up on the offensive side of the ball, especially of late, and are averaging 106 points a game over their last 5 games.

O.J. Mayo and Rudy Gay lead the Memphis Grizzlies with 19 points a game, while Marc Gasol leads all Grizzly rebounders with 7 per outing. I mentioned earlier that the Grizzlies had lost 7 straight, and the main reason for that, is their lack of offensive fire power. They are averaging 93 points a game on the season, but are averaging 85 points a game over their last 5. To add insult to injury, the Grizzlies lost at home to the Knicks back in November. The Knicks torched the Grizzly defense for 132 points in that game. Look for much the same in this match up tonight.

Take the New York Knicks -6 for 3-Units!



Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning


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#739 Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2

3-Units (9:00 P.M. CST)

Both of these teams have losing records, yet one seems to have a clear advantage over the other, especially in past match ups. Fresno St. has won 4 straight over Cal Poly dating back to 1998! Now the Mustangs find themselves in a rare favorite role over the Bulldogs. They catch a Fresno St. team that is on a two game losing streak, having lost road games to Creighton and St. Louis. Both these teams had winning records, and in fact all of the teams that Fresno St. lost to had winning records except Oregon St.(4-5). Cal Poly just lost to a 4-9 CSU Bakersfield team, and can't be feeling good about the way the season is going. Fresno St. on the other hand gets their first real winnable game on the road against a team they have managed to handle very easily in the past. Fresno St. is shooting a steady 45% from the field on the season, and in road games. Cal Poly on the other hand is shooting a miserable 35 % from the field in home games, and will have a tough time covering the spread in this game against the Bulldogs of Fresno St.

Take the Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2 for 3-Units!

Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning

Southcoast Sports

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Today's Selections:

#390 New York Jets -9

4-Units (3:15 P.M. CST)

The Jets and Broncos have something in common. Do you know what it is? I do. They both lost to the lowly Oakland Raiders this year. Denver lost by a 10-30 score to Oakland just last week, while the Jets lost 13-16 to the same Oakland team back in the middle of October.

One thing has remained a constant in all of the Broncos games. They give up lots of points!!! They are ranked #28 in the league with 28 points allowed per game, and will be facing a Jets team that is ranked #2 in the league with 29 points scored a game. The Jets Brett Favre has been spreading the wealth in the receiving corps. He has 5 different receivers that are averaging over 20 receiving yards per game.

One of the reasons for the poor defensive play of the Broncos is the fact that they very rarely create turnovers, if fact they are last in the NFL with just under one takeaway per game. The one positive that the Broncos have going for them is Jay Cutler and the Broncos offense. The offense is ranked #2 in the league in total offensive yards, but have struggled in the red zone, which accounts for the #15 ranked offense in total points scored.

The wild card that makes the Jets the play, despite the high number, is the way their defense has played over the past few weeks. They did allow the Patriots to score 31 a couple of weeks ago, but other than that lone setback, have held 5 of its last 7 opponents to 17 or less points. Denver on the other hand has allowed 6 of its last 10 opponents to score over 30 points, while holding only one opponent under 20 points in this span. With the weapons that Favre has at his disposal in the receiving corps, and with Thomas Jones doing the damage with the running game, I see no way that they Broncos defense can keep the Jets from scoring, and scoring, and scoring.

Take the New York Jets -9 for 4-Units!

Trends worth considering:

Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.

Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Jets allow the third least rushing yards in the league at 78.0 per game

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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#915 Tampa Bay Rays +130

2-Units (7:05 P.M. CST)

Hey guys, I will go with a small lean on the Rays in this matchup on Tuesday night. Despite just average numbers for most of the season, Tampa's Andy Sonnastine came through in the clutch when needed. He posted a 3.16 Era for September while holding the White Sox to 3 hits and 2 earned runs over 5.2 innings of work on October 6th. Sonnastine and the Rays pitching staff have been able to hold Red Sox Slugger David Ortiz in check by throwing him lots of curve balls and sliders. It has worked up to this point, and the Rays probably will continue with this same philosophy on Tuesday night. Sonnastine will be opposed by Boston's Tim Wakefield. Wakefield will hold a special place in history on Tuesday night, being the oldest pitcher to start an ALCS game at the ripe old age of 42. Although pitching knuckle balls doesn't require a lot of arm strength, getting in a rhythm is very important, and this could be a problem with Wakefield, who hasn't pitched since September 28th against the Yankees. If Wakefield gets behind in the count, he has to rely on his fastball that tops out in the mid 80's, and this could spell disaster for Wakefield when facing a Rays team that is hitting .272 and scoring 6.23 runs a game over their last 5 games vs right handed pitching. Boston brought the best they had to offer on Monday, and now take a step down with a soft tossing Wakefield on the mound.

Take the Tampa Bay Rays +130 for 2-Units.

Stats for Consideration:

Rays are 6-1 in Sonnanstines last 7 starts vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 4-10 in Wakefields last 14 starts vs. American League East.

Rays are 14-5 in Sonnanstines last 19 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 5-14 in Wakefields last 19 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Gorman behind home plate.

Rays are 12-46 in the last 58 meetings in Boston.

Home team is 4-0 in Gormans last 4 games behind home plate vs. Boston.

Red Sox are 1-4 in Wakefields last 5 starts with 15 or more days of rest.

Red Sox are 0-4 in Wakefields last 4 starts vs. Rays.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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#102 Florida Atlantic +4

2-Units (7:00 P.M. CST) (ESPN2)

Most are saying that this Tuesday night match up between Troy and Florida Atlantic may very well decide who will be the Sun Belt Conference Champion. Although Florida Atlantic is the reigning Champion, they have played nothing like the team we saw last year. The Owls are 1-4, and lost their conference opener on a last second hail mary at Middle Tennessee St. last week. You would think that a team returning 18 starters from a Conference Champion team would be set to repeat, but the Owls have failed to meet season beginning expectations. Quarterback Rusty Smith has thrown only 4 touchdowns on the season, compared to 7 interceptions. The good news is that the Owls have played only one home game this season, and in that game against UAB, Smith threw for 3 touchdowns and no interceptions in a game that saw the Owls offense explode for 49 points. Troy comes in at 2-2 on the year. They beat Middle Tennessee St. 31-17 to start the season, then blew out Alcorn St. by a 65-0 margin. Losses were expected at Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., but now the Trojans find themselves 3 1/2 point road favorites to a Florida Atlantic team that has its backs against the wall. Although Jamie Hampton has more touchdown passes than Smith, lets not forget that almost half of those touchdown tosses came against Alcorn St. We have one common denominator in this match up, and that is that both have played Middle Tennessee St. on the road. Troy beat the Blue Raiders by a convincing 31-17 score, while Florida Atlantic lost 14-13 to this same Blue Raider team. Looking a little closer at the stats I noticed that against Troy the Blue Raiders actually had more first downs(20-16) and an advantage in time of possession(36-24), while Troy had a small total yardage advantage of 300-284. The Blue Raiders actually had a +2 turnover advantage, but lost the game as a result of going 0-4 on 4th down conversions. Despite losing last week at Middle Tennessee St., Florida Atlantic had an advantage in every category except one, and that was a -3 turnover ratio that ultimately cost them the game(barely). Look for Florida Atlantic to give its best effort of the season on Tuesday night. Their season depends on it. Worth noting for this game is that the line opened with Troy being a 3 1/2 point road favorite and has pretty much held steady until just a few minutes before this write-up. With 80-85 % of the public being on Troy, this tells me that a small amount of Sharp Money is coming in on Florida Atlantic.

Take Florida Atlantic +4 for 2-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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#220 Pittsburgh Steelers -5 1/2

2-Units (7:30P.M. CST)

Two rock solid defenses face off at Pittsburgh tonight. On the offensive side of the ball, we have rookie Joe Flacco going against a Steelers defense that is allowing 13 points a game, while the beat up Steelers and Big Ben try to get things going against a Ravens defense that is giving up 10 points a game. Steelers tailback Willie Parker will not be starting this game. In his place will be rookie Rashard Mendenhall. This will be Mendenhall's chance to shine, and I look for a big effort from here in this Monday night matchup. Ben Roethlisberger was sacked 8 times last week in Philadelphia, and has went down 12 times for the year, and this is definitely an area for concern. His counterpart, Flacco has problems of his own. Besides being a rookie, he has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season, and will be facing a Pittsburgh defense that has 6 interceptions this year. The question here is, who has the best chance of succeeding? I will lean with a Pittsburgh team that has experience at the quarterback position. Even should Roethlisberger goe down, Byron Leftwich should be able to step in and play respectably. Let's not forget that Pittsburgh has won 13 straight Monday Night home games dating back to 1992, and the home team is 4-1 against the spread the last 5 times these teams have faced off.

Take the Pittsburgh Steelers -5 1/2 for 2-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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