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Today's Selections:

#390 New York Jets -9

4-Units (3:15 P.M. CST)

The Jets and Broncos have something in common. Do you know what it is? I do. They both lost to the lowly Oakland Raiders this year. Denver lost by a 10-30 score to Oakland just last week, while the Jets lost 13-16 to the same Oakland team back in the middle of October.

One thing has remained a constant in all of the Broncos games. They give up lots of points!!! They are ranked #28 in the league with 28 points allowed per game, and will be facing a Jets team that is ranked #2 in the league with 29 points scored a game. The Jets Brett Favre has been spreading the wealth in the receiving corps. He has 5 different receivers that are averaging over 20 receiving yards per game.

One of the reasons for the poor defensive play of the Broncos is the fact that they very rarely create turnovers, if fact they are last in the NFL with just under one takeaway per game. The one positive that the Broncos have going for them is Jay Cutler and the Broncos offense. The offense is ranked #2 in the league in total offensive yards, but have struggled in the red zone, which accounts for the #15 ranked offense in total points scored.

The wild card that makes the Jets the play, despite the high number, is the way their defense has played over the past few weeks. They did allow the Patriots to score 31 a couple of weeks ago, but other than that lone setback, have held 5 of its last 7 opponents to 17 or less points. Denver on the other hand has allowed 6 of its last 10 opponents to score over 30 points, while holding only one opponent under 20 points in this span. With the weapons that Favre has at his disposal in the receiving corps, and with Thomas Jones doing the damage with the running game, I see no way that they Broncos defense can keep the Jets from scoring, and scoring, and scoring.

Take the New York Jets -9 for 4-Units!

Trends worth considering:

Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.

Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Jets allow the third least rushing yards in the league at 78.0 per game

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

Free MLB Play from Southcoast Sports 10-14-08

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MLB Selections now on 77-45 Run!!!

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Play of the Day Selections stand at 120-89 56%nners for 2008!!!

4 - Unit Selections stand at 50-35 58% Winners for 2008!!

Next MLB Release will be on Tuesday at 4:00 P.M. CST!!!

#915 Tampa Bay Rays +130

2-Units (7:05 P.M. CST)

Hey guys, I will go with a small lean on the Rays in this matchup on Tuesday night. Despite just average numbers for most of the season, Tampa's Andy Sonnastine came through in the clutch when needed. He posted a 3.16 Era for September while holding the White Sox to 3 hits and 2 earned runs over 5.2 innings of work on October 6th. Sonnastine and the Rays pitching staff have been able to hold Red Sox Slugger David Ortiz in check by throwing him lots of curve balls and sliders. It has worked up to this point, and the Rays probably will continue with this same philosophy on Tuesday night. Sonnastine will be opposed by Boston's Tim Wakefield. Wakefield will hold a special place in history on Tuesday night, being the oldest pitcher to start an ALCS game at the ripe old age of 42. Although pitching knuckle balls doesn't require a lot of arm strength, getting in a rhythm is very important, and this could be a problem with Wakefield, who hasn't pitched since September 28th against the Yankees. If Wakefield gets behind in the count, he has to rely on his fastball that tops out in the mid 80's, and this could spell disaster for Wakefield when facing a Rays team that is hitting .272 and scoring 6.23 runs a game over their last 5 games vs right handed pitching. Boston brought the best they had to offer on Monday, and now take a step down with a soft tossing Wakefield on the mound.

Take the Tampa Bay Rays +130 for 2-Units.

Stats for Consideration:

Rays are 6-1 in Sonnanstines last 7 starts vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 4-10 in Wakefields last 14 starts vs. American League East.

Rays are 14-5 in Sonnanstines last 19 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 5-14 in Wakefields last 19 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Gorman behind home plate.

Rays are 12-46 in the last 58 meetings in Boston.

Home team is 4-0 in Gormans last 4 games behind home plate vs. Boston.

Red Sox are 1-4 in Wakefields last 5 starts with 15 or more days of rest.

Red Sox are 0-4 in Wakefields last 4 starts vs. Rays.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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Next NFL/NCAAF Release will be on Thursday at 4:00 P.M. CST!!!

#102 Florida Atlantic +4

2-Units (7:00 P.M. CST) (ESPN2)

Most are saying that this Tuesday night match up between Troy and Florida Atlantic may very well decide who will be the Sun Belt Conference Champion. Although Florida Atlantic is the reigning Champion, they have played nothing like the team we saw last year. The Owls are 1-4, and lost their conference opener on a last second hail mary at Middle Tennessee St. last week. You would think that a team returning 18 starters from a Conference Champion team would be set to repeat, but the Owls have failed to meet season beginning expectations. Quarterback Rusty Smith has thrown only 4 touchdowns on the season, compared to 7 interceptions. The good news is that the Owls have played only one home game this season, and in that game against UAB, Smith threw for 3 touchdowns and no interceptions in a game that saw the Owls offense explode for 49 points. Troy comes in at 2-2 on the year. They beat Middle Tennessee St. 31-17 to start the season, then blew out Alcorn St. by a 65-0 margin. Losses were expected at Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., but now the Trojans find themselves 3 1/2 point road favorites to a Florida Atlantic team that has its backs against the wall. Although Jamie Hampton has more touchdown passes than Smith, lets not forget that almost half of those touchdown tosses came against Alcorn St. We have one common denominator in this match up, and that is that both have played Middle Tennessee St. on the road. Troy beat the Blue Raiders by a convincing 31-17 score, while Florida Atlantic lost 14-13 to this same Blue Raider team. Looking a little closer at the stats I noticed that against Troy the Blue Raiders actually had more first downs(20-16) and an advantage in time of possession(36-24), while Troy had a small total yardage advantage of 300-284. The Blue Raiders actually had a +2 turnover advantage, but lost the game as a result of going 0-4 on 4th down conversions. Despite losing last week at Middle Tennessee St., Florida Atlantic had an advantage in every category except one, and that was a -3 turnover ratio that ultimately cost them the game(barely). Look for Florida Atlantic to give its best effort of the season on Tuesday night. Their season depends on it. Worth noting for this game is that the line opened with Troy being a 3 1/2 point road favorite and has pretty much held steady until just a few minutes before this write-up. With 80-85 % of the public being on Troy, this tells me that a small amount of Sharp Money is coming in on Florida Atlantic.

Take Florida Atlantic +4 for 2-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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MLB Selections now 76-45 Run!!!

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All Selections are 202-157 56% Winners for 2008!!!

Play of the Day Selections stand at 114-84 57%nners for 2008!!!

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Next NFL/NCAAF Release will be on Tuesday at 4:00 P.M. CST!!!

#220 Pittsburgh Steelers -5 1/2

2-Units (7:30P.M. CST)

Two rock solid defenses face off at Pittsburgh tonight. On the offensive side of the ball, we have rookie Joe Flacco going against a Steelers defense that is allowing 13 points a game, while the beat up Steelers and Big Ben try to get things going against a Ravens defense that is giving up 10 points a game. Steelers tailback Willie Parker will not be starting this game. In his place will be rookie Rashard Mendenhall. This will be Mendenhall's chance to shine, and I look for a big effort from here in this Monday night matchup. Ben Roethlisberger was sacked 8 times last week in Philadelphia, and has went down 12 times for the year, and this is definitely an area for concern. His counterpart, Flacco has problems of his own. Besides being a rookie, he has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season, and will be facing a Pittsburgh defense that has 6 interceptions this year. The question here is, who has the best chance of succeeding? I will lean with a Pittsburgh team that has experience at the quarterback position. Even should Roethlisberger goe down, Byron Leftwich should be able to step in and play respectably. Let's not forget that Pittsburgh has won 13 straight Monday Night home games dating back to 1992, and the home team is 4-1 against the spread the last 5 times these teams have faced off.

Take the Pittsburgh Steelers -5 1/2 for 2-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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**#929 Los Angeles Angels -130

3-Units (9:05 P.M. CST)

Now that the Angels have clinched the MLB's first playoff spot, they will not feel pressured to make things happen. Sometimes that is a good thing, as players get more relaxed and just play to have fun. However, the Athletics can't be happy that John Lackey will be facing them on Tuesday night. In 25 career starts against Oakland, Lackey is 14-3 while maintaining a low 2.67 Era. He has been even more impressive over his last 10 starts vs the Athletics, going 8-1 with a 1.71 Era. Oakland's Sean Gallagher will get the start opposite of Lackey. Gallagher pitched well in his first start back from the DL with shoulder fatigue, and he has won his only start vs the Angels. The Athletics are 1-6 in Gallaghers last 7 starts, and are 0-4 in his last 4 starts against teams with winning records. It's probably worth noting that Lackey is 7-2 with a 2.76 Era in his night starts, while Gallagher is 1-2 with a 7.52 Era in games he started at night. All the numbers point towards an Angels victory, and we are getting them at a decent price.

Take the Los Angeles Angels -130 for 3-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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All Selections are 187-146 57% Winners for 2008!!!

Play of the Day Selections stand at 106-77 57% Winners for 2008!!!

4 - Unit Selections stand at 46-27 63% Winners for 2008!!

Next NFL/NCAAF Release will be on Sunday at 10:00 A.M. CST!!!

**#176 San Jose St. -6 1/2

4-Units (8:00 P.M. CST)

SThe final score of the San Jose St./Nebraska game last week was much closer than the final score indicated. The Spartans were down 14-12 early in the fourth quarter before Nebraska returned a kickoff for a touchdown to put the game away. Surprisingly Spartan Quarterback Kyle Reed is second in the WAC with a 72.7 pass completion percentage. The Spartans were able to rush for 137 yards against Nebraska, and will need to maintain a rushing game against San Diego St. if they are to have a chance for a win. San Diego St. may be in for a little letdown this week. They nearly upset Notre Dame and actually had a chance late in the game, but gave way in a 13-21 loss. Sometimes it is hard to get back up emotionally after such a heartbreaking loss, especially if the next game is on the road. San Diego St.'s Freshman quarterback Ryan Lindley has shown signs of promise at times, but has struggled in certain situations. He has thrown for 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. San Jose St. has a huge defensive edge in this matchup. The Spartans have held teams to an average of 285 yards a game, while the Aztecs have given up 412 yards a game. These two teams last met in 2006, and in that game San Jose won by a 31-10 margin. Look for much the same tonight.

Take the San Jose Spartans -6 1/2 for 4-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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All Selections are 180-138 57% Winners for 2008!!!

Play of the Day Selections stand at 101-74 58% Winners for 2008!!!

4 - Unit Selections stand at 44-27 62% Winners for 2008!!

Next NFL/NCAAF Release will be on Saturday at 10:00 A.M. CST!!!

#304 Ball St. -6 1/2

2-Units (6:00 P.M. CST) (ESPN)

Let's look at the obvious facts about tonight's game. We know that the Navy offense will probably go over the 400 yard mark in rushing against the Cardinals tonight. We also know that the Ball St. Cardinals will probably pass at will against the weak Navy secondary. So where does one go from here? Well, what I look for in this game is for the Navy offense to put together a few drives and score a few points here and there. But when they are faced with a 3rd and long, they will be in deep trouble, as they basically have no passing attack. Ball St. on the other hand will be able to mix the run and pass together, and should be able to turn a few of their 3rd and longs into first downs. Quarterback Nate Davis completed 21 of 24 Passes last week for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns. His favorite target was Dante Love who had 9 receptions for 171 yards last week, which just happened to be the 14th best receiving total in school history. Last week against Navy, Towson focused on the fullback, which led to slot back Shun White going wild for 348 rushing yards. You can bet that he will be a target for the Ball St. defenders tonight. Keep in mind that this is the first ever Ball St. home football game televised on ESPN. Also don't forget that Ball St. won at Annapolis last season, and get the Midshipmen at home in a National Televised Event.

Take the Ball St. Cardinals -6 1/2 for 2-Units!

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports

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