NFL SuperBowl Picks

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Sunday, November 30, 2008

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Today's Selections:



#390 New York Jets -9


4-Units (3:15 P.M. CST)



The Jets and Broncos have something in common. Do you know what it is? I do. They both lost to the lowly Oakland Raiders this year. Denver lost by a 10-30 score to Oakland just last week, while the Jets lost 13-16 to the same Oakland team back in the middle of October.


One thing has remained a constant in all of the Broncos games. They give up lots of points!!! They are ranked #28 in the league with 28 points allowed per game, and will be facing a Jets team that is ranked #2 in the league with 29 points scored a game. The Jets Brett Favre has been spreading the wealth in the receiving corps. He has 5 different receivers that are averaging over 20 receiving yards per game.


One of the reasons for the poor defensive play of the Broncos is the fact that they very rarely create turnovers, if fact they are last in the NFL with just under one takeaway per game. The one positive that the Broncos have going for them is Jay Cutler and the Broncos offense. The offense is ranked #2 in the league in total offensive yards, but have struggled in the red zone, which accounts for the #15 ranked offense in total points scored.


The wild card that makes the Jets the play, despite the high number, is the way their defense has played over the past few weeks. They did allow the Patriots to score 31 a couple of weeks ago, but other than that lone setback, have held 5 of its last 7 opponents to 17 or less points. Denver on the other hand has allowed 6 of its last 10 opponents to score over 30 points, while holding only one opponent under 20 points in this span. With the weapons that Favre has at his disposal in the receiving corps, and with Thomas Jones doing the damage with the running game, I see no way that they Broncos defense can keep the Jets from scoring, and scoring, and scoring.


Take the New York Jets -9 for 4-Units!


Trends worth considering:


Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.

Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.



Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Jets allow the third least rushing yards in the league at 78.0 per game



Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

Southcoast Sports